A recent poll reveals a surprising stance on Alberta's future: Most Albertans Prefer Unity Over Separation.
The debate over Alberta's potential separation from Canada has been heating up, with petition signings and town hall meetings attracting attention. However, a new survey suggests that the majority of Albertans are not keen on going it alone. The poll, conducted by the Angus Reid Institute, found that 65% of respondents would either vote to remain in Canada or are inclined that way. But here's where it gets controversial: 29% are leaning towards or would definitely vote for separation.
The poll highlights a significant political division within the United Conservative Party (UCP) on the issue of separatism. While 93% of Alberta NDP voters favor staying in Canada, the UCP base is more divided, with 41% leaning towards leaving and 16% committed to voting for separation. Interestingly, 26% of UCP voters say they would definitely vote to stay, outnumbering those who want to leave.
Shachi Kurl, president of the Angus Reid Institute, emphasizes that the battle for Alberta's future will be fought among the 20% of respondents who lean towards voting to leave. The question is, will they ultimately decide to leave or return to the side of unity?
Another poll from December 2025 by Pollara Strategic Insights indicated that one in five Albertans would vote for separation. This new poll, conducted online from February 2nd to 6th, 2026, surveyed 979 Albertan adults and was weighted to represent the diverse demographics of Canada. As an online survey, it does not have a traditional margin of error, but a comparable probability sample would have a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
The reasons for separation include the belief that Alberta is not benefiting equally from its contributions to Canada and the desire for control over natural resources. However, those who want to stay cite economic challenges and a strong Canadian identity as key factors. Interestingly, the potential for the United States to annex an independent Alberta is a convincing reason for many to remain in Canada.
The Alberta Prosperity Project CEO, Mitch Sylvestre, launched a petition for separation last month, requiring 178,000 signatures by May 2nd to trigger a referendum. Sylvestre expresses confidence in reaching the threshold, but the number of signatures remains undisclosed. Meanwhile, the 'Forever Canadian' petition, advocating for Alberta's unity with Canada, has already succeeded with over 400,000 signatures.
This issue sparks differing opinions, and the implications are far-reaching. What do you think? Is Alberta better off as part of Canada, or is separation the path to a brighter future? Share your thoughts and let's engage in a respectful discussion on this complex topic.